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2024-12-13 11:49:42

The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)CEO of Ferrari: We have seen opportunities in different countries, but we need to grow at the right speed. We still plan to launch (the first) electric vehicles in 2025.General Motors said that it will give priority to the development of advanced driver assistance systems to realize fully automatic personal cars and make persistent efforts on the basis of super cruise.


Goldman Sachs: "According to our basic forecast, the tanker freight will drop slightly in the next few years, but if the diversion of tankers in the Red Sea and Russia ends, the tanker freight will further drop by 30%."On the eve of the release of CPI data in November, a newly released report said that the leadership of the Bureau of Labor Statistics should be responsible for a series of mistakes this year. These mistakes brought the institution under scrutiny. However, the report issued by an expert team composed of government and private sector members said that none of these incidents had anything to do with the quality or accuracy of the agency's core data work. The report added that no potential motives for dishonesty or malice were found. Previously, the CPI of the United States was leaked in advance in April, and in August, the preliminary annual benchmark revised data of the non-farm payrolls report was released more than 30 minutes after the original release time of 10: 00 a.m. The survey found that the modernization of technology and software of this institution was hindered by insufficient funds, which made it impossible to ensure that its processes and systems kept pace with technological progress. The investigation team proposed to re-plan the enterprise training for front-line staff and revise the emergency plan to reduce the risk of untimely release. It is reported that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has removed contractors from key positions and limited these functions to federal staff.Market information: US President Biden seeks to veto once and for all the merger of Nippon Steel (Nippon Steel) and American Steel Company (X).


Goldman Sachs: "According to our basic forecast, the tanker freight will drop slightly in the next few years, but if the diversion of tankers in the Red Sea and Russia ends, the tanker freight will further drop by 30%."The Deputy Prime Minister of Iraq spoke to the UN Special Envoy for Syria. The two sides stressed that the previous settlement mechanism should be maintained. On December 10, local time, the Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Iraq, Fuad Hussein, telephoned the UN Secretary-General's Special Envoy for Syria, Pei Kairu. The two sides reviewed the current developments in Syria and analyzed its scope of influence, and discussed the possible consequences if the international community failed to take concrete actions. The two sides stressed that consultations should continue and the United Nations should play an active role in supporting the Syrian people and stabilizing the situation in the region. The two sides also stressed that the previous mechanism for resolving the Syrian conflict should be maintained and the consensus between the region and Arab countries should be brought into play to reach a plan to end the humanitarian crisis in Syria. (CCTV)The US dollar index rose more than 0.2%, the Japanese yen once fell below 152, and the NZD fell by 1.1%. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, the ICE dollar index rose by 0.25% to 106.407 points, and then rebounded to 106.040 points at 14:31 Beijing time, and rose to 106.637 points at 23:53. The dollar rose 0.49% against the yen to 151.95 yen, and the intraday trading range was 150.90-152.18 yen. The euro fell 0.27% to 1.0528, the pound rose 0.17% to 1.2772, and the dollar rose 0.54% to 0.8829 against the Swiss franc. Among commodity currencies, the Australian dollar fell by 0.95% against the US dollar, the New Zealand dollar fell by 1.10% against the US dollar, and the US dollar rose by 0.07% against the Canadian dollar.

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